Archive for the ‘Buyers' Market’ Category

Commercial Investing Forecast 2010

Friday, November 13th, 2009

Now is the time that investors are finally coming out to invest. Investors are already taking advantage of the residential properties…but should investors start looking into commercial real estate? There has been a close eye nationwide on commercial properties and whether or not to make a move. Kenneth R. Harney from Realty Times wrote the following article, “Investor Report: Commercial Investing 2010to give better perspective :

CityRidge.comIf you’re a commercial property investor looking toward 2010, where are the most promising real estate markets in the U.S.?

The Urban Land Institute teamed with consulting firm Pricewaterhouse Coopers and asked more than 900 investors, developers and lenders that question recently, and came up with some intriguing answers.

The top market for heads-up investors among literally hundreds around the country turns out to be Washington D.C.

The nation’s capital, where you send your tax money and where your federal government continues to grow, turns out to be the only truly “recession proof” market in the U.S., according to the real estate experts polled in the study.

Why? Because Washington thrives when the economy falls apart, thrives when the country is at war, and does really well when the political party in power believes in big government, more agencies and more federal spending.

And that’s precisely where we are right now.

“While hard pressed lenders pull back in most cities,” according to the Urban Land Institute’s summary of the study, in Washington “major insurers and banks have taken a long term view and are actively providing financing for new (commercial real estate) deals. ”

No shortage of equity or debt for the right project — if it’s in D.C.

And it’s not just the city itself that’s prospering. The Virginia and Maryland suburbs are adding high tech, defense and scientific jobs by the thousands.

According to the study, “Bethesda (Maryland), home to the National Institutes of Health, should benefit from increased biomedical (federal) spending,” and the close-in Virginia suburbs are expected to grow defense-related jobs and new construction as well.

Ranking number two after Washington for commercial property investment in 2010 is San Francisco, with especially good prospects for apartments, warehouses, offices and hotels. Metropolitan San Francisco not only is a tourist and convention magnet, but combines strong center-city employment with the high-tech industry in suburban Silicon Valley.

The third rated top investment prospect in the survey might be a surprise to some: Austin, Texas, with lots of technology businesses growing and needing more space. The survey ranked it near the top because of the city’s pro-business political climate and low taxes, both of which should, it said, “contribute to future growth and continuing corporate relocations. Austin fits the “brainpower” model that attracts investment even when the national economy is soft.

Rounding out the top ten hot spots for commercial and income-property investors for the coming year, by rank: Boston, New York, Houston, Seattle, Raleigh/Durham North Carolina, Denver and San Jose, California.

Visit us at www.CityRidge.com.

Flipping Properties Require Margin and Fixed Expenses

Monday, November 9th, 2009

This article, “Flipping Properties Require Margin and Fixed Expenses,” by M. Anthony Carr from Realty Times gives first time investors a good perspective on flipping homes. With so many foreclosures out in a buyers’ market, first time investor-flippers need to be aware of scenarios that might give them second thoughts:

Ah, yes. The flipping of houses. What better way can a common man build his millions? Well, not many. It really can be a quick way to create wealth as long as the flipper doesn’t let the flippee house take over his life and bank account.CityRidge.com

The number one equation to take into account on this project is the margin. What is your cost to get into the house and the average sales price of a house in the selected neighborhood on a remodeled home? Obviously, you want this margin to be as high as possible. The challenge in today’s market, when looking at it nationally, is that many of the diamonds in the rough are located in areas where prices are still declining, so the investor must be sure to purchase the house, gut out the old, insert the new, and get out of the house before the declining price catches up with him and his profit.

Successful flipping is all about your margin. I would love to give you a set equation with fixed expenses, but every house is different. One house may need a kitchen, another, the kitchen and two baths. Here’s a pretty cool calculator online that can help determine your cost at www.RemodelingMySpace.com. With the flipping I’ve seen done in our market, it seems to be pretty accurate on its estimation of replacement costs.

Understanding that all homes are different, the sample below works for our hypothetical house only. Not for every potential flipper on the market. So here’s your calculation.

Let’s say the asking price is $199,000 for the house in its current condition. You see that it needs a new kitchen, 2 new baths, a new furnace, carpeting, painting inside and out and finally, some landscaping.

After your bids from your work crew come in, your fix up expenses come up to $47,000. Add the $47,000 to the $199,000 for your net expense: $246,000. Now you have the Realtor of choice calculate the price homes are selling for in the community that are remodeled or in excellent condition (because by the time you get done, yours should be in excellent condition). Let’s say it’s $285,000. Wow, it looks like you just picked up a cool $39,000. Well, not exactly.

First, you have to determine how long it will take to sell the house and calculate your carrying costs (monthly payment, construction loans, etc.) If you’re in the same situation as most foreclosure markets, you need to figure about 4 – 6 months carrying costs of preparation and marketing time. If your costs is about $1200 per month (for the mortgage plus utilities), you’re now out $4800 (and your take has dropped to $34,200).

And don’t forget your 7 percent selling costs for commission and closing expenses, which is roughly $19,950. So now your margin of profit is about $14,000 give or take a $1,000.

As you can see, this is how a lot of people get into trouble thinking that if they pick up a house for $85,000 under market price they’ll be rolling in the dough quickly. Most experienced investors are looking for a margin of 50 percent of the value or $100,000 on a higher priced home.

The challenge of a profit margin of $14,000 is that it can be quickly removed in a declining market or the negotiation process in a buyers market.

VISIT OUR WEBSITE www.CityRidge.com

Real Estate Investment Tips

Thursday, September 24th, 2009

Why do we invest in real estate? Money.

With today’s real estate market trend, it could be a good time to start investing in real estate…especially with reduced prices and foreclosures. BUT, if you don’t know what you’re doing, it might not be a great idea.

No doubt, investing in real estate is difficult. You are competing with multiple, legitimate offers. Investors are now crawling out from the caves.

You have to treat real estate investments just like like you’re buying a home to reside in. It requires you to rack up your financial goals, and start mapping out a lifestyle that is able to support your investments.

You’ve already reached the half way mark if you have the money (obviously), lifestyle, and most importantly the time to manage your real estate investment.

The other half requires the following:

• Own Your Home First.The main reason why you should own your own home first, aside from having a place to stay, is simply because you’re gaining experience in buying and owning a property. Think of it as practice. It preps you up for financials, market conditions and maintenance.

The other benefit of owning your own home prior to investing in real estate is that you can potentially turn your primary residence into an investment property. Rent your home and upgrade into a larger house in a better location.

Note: If you are upgrading from your existing residence, lenders will most likely require 20 percent equity in your current residence prior to lending for another property.

• Get Educated. Take advantage of useful resources, such as the Internet, books, investment groups, college/university courses, or even fellow real estate licensees to better acquaint yourself with the industry. There are plenty of real estate sites that very helpful. To name a few: zillow.com, trulia.com, realtor.com (highly suggested), and yes…activerain!!

• Get Help from a PRO. Now is probably the best time to seek help from an experienced, competent realtor or lender to assist you in your real estate venture…the right way. Look for a mentor, the same way you seek for a trustworthy and honest professional that is looking out for your best interest. Get referrals from friends, family, clients, other professionals, co-workers…just about anyone. Get help from a real estate professional, but not just anyone. Trust the professional.

• Learn the Market. Understanding the market you want to investment is the ONLY key to success and making money. You may buy a property in a market that gives you a vacation rental income, which covers costs of principal, property taxes, insurance, maintenance, homeowner association dues…but does not appreciate in value. Yet, purchasing a property in a market that may not bring in sufficient rent to cover costs of owning the property, but might appreciate in value to potentially make up any loss from the costs.

Either way, the outcomes are unpredictable and you must keep a close eye on the market and keep your ears open for any market changes.

The risks of investing is most definitely there. That’s why it’s crucial to have an Exit Plan mapped out just in case your calculations are off and you need to unload your property.

Uncle Sam’s Tax Credit for Homebuyers

Monday, February 16th, 2009

Tax Credit From the $789 billion economic stimulus package, first time home buyers will receive an improved, non-repayable version of last year’s repayable $7,500 tax credit. The $8,000.00 credit eligibility has been extended to September 1st, instead of June 30th.

According to the National Association of Realtors, the tax credit should generate about 500,000 more home sales this year, whether they’re moving out or possibly moving to a bigger house.

The tax credit should also help generate more economic stimulation. Realtors’ forecast additional spending of about $60,000 for every house sold, triggering a “ripple effect” or other purchases and payments, such as furnishings, appliances, remodeling, repairs, real estate commissions, moving expenses, and similar costs.

The stimulus package also has even more incentives and benefits for home owners. Everything  from energy efficient heating and air conditioning, windows, doors, and insulation will apply towards the tax credits and will be extended  through 2010

Of course, another program in the package should also help generate an economic effect within neighborhoods that have numerous foreclosures.

This bill provides up to two billion dollars to buy, renovate, and rent out or resell  foreclosed and vacant homes.

The money generated will go to the local governments, however the actual rehabilitation, rental and resales work will go to people in the private sector.

California Market Forecast for 2009

Wednesday, October 15th, 2008

According to the CALIFORNIA REALTOR® EXPO 2008, the prices for homes in most areas of California will decline next year, while the sales of actual existing homes continue to rise through out 2009.

“The current uncertainty about the financial system and economy is likely to persist over the next several weeks, and could extend into next year,” said C.A.R. President William E. Brown. “Our forecast assumes that the financial system will begin to show signs of stabilization late in 2008 and into early 2009.”

Based on forecasts, California median home prices will see a 6 percent decline to about $350,000 in 2009 when compared to this year’s median price of about $380,000. It’s been projected that in 2009, sales are to increase about 12 percent to 445,000 units when compared to 2008 projected units of 395,600.

“Sales in 2008 will be ahead of last year by 12 percent, with a further increase of 12.5 percent expected in 2009,” said C.A.R. Chief Economist Leslie Appleton-Young. “However, the next couple of quarters in late 2008 and early 2009 will be marked by seasonal decreases in activity, with a pickup expected by the second quarter of next year.”


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